Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 0.548425 0.605409 0.666830 0.738124 0.818811 0.907540 1.012824
2025-10-12 0.461090 0.540777 0.633206 0.749083 0.891510 1.062194 1.284242
2025-10-19 0.408864 0.499077 0.608963 0.754159 0.943205 1.184123 1.519461
2025-10-26 0.371030 0.467389 0.589418 0.757649 0.987300 1.295413 1.749792
2025-11-02 0.343159 0.444002 0.576027 0.764861 1.033582 1.411065 1.997795
2025-11-09 0.312246 0.412933 0.548406 0.748188 1.042616 1.472738 2.172471
2025-11-16 0.294028 0.397053 0.539358 0.755536 1.085263 1.586082 2.439193
2025-11-23 0.274458 0.377376 0.522810 0.749561 1.106090 1.666839 2.662824
2025-11-30 0.260281 0.364105 0.514061 0.753819 1.142160 1.774349 2.945241
2025-12-07 0.243868 0.346234 0.496896 0.743108 1.152425 1.839410 3.160534
2025-12-14 0.229425 0.330231 0.481223 0.733083 1.162221 1.903747 3.382474
2025-12-21 0.212655 0.309583 0.456891 0.706840 1.141610 1.911619 3.495620
2025-12-28 0.206464 0.305044 0.457737 0.722716 1.196434 2.063566 3.924073
2026-01-04 0.199685 0.299138 0.455957 0.733950 1.244102 2.208113 4.363391
2026-01-11 0.192224 0.291613 0.450912 0.738890 1.280350 2.334490 4.785213
2026-01-18 0.185080 0.284130 0.445354 0.742296 1.313749 2.458834 5.224892
2026-01-25 0.179138 0.278241 0.442028 0.749331 1.354651 2.603446 5.740495
2026-02-01 0.169649 0.265879 0.426793 0.733065 1.347395 2.644110 6.004484
2026-02-08 0.164715 0.260946 0.424153 0.740234 1.388420 2.795622 6.586159
2026-02-15 0.158067 0.252704 0.415138 0.734404 1.401633 2.885763 7.020862
2026-02-22 0.153384 0.247611 0.411425 0.738559 1.436381 3.030204 7.639584
2026-03-01 0.146875 0.238979 0.400777 0.728108 1.438206 3.096016 8.042445
2026-03-08 0.140874 0.230962 0.390820 0.718327 1.440572 3.163444 8.465686